delta update…
• A reasonable and current update on delta, its ramifications, and the effects on non-pharmaceutical interventions, by Alvin Powell in the Harvard Gazette.
• A reasonable and current update on delta, its ramifications, and the effects on non-pharmaceutical interventions, by Alvin Powell in the Harvard Gazette.
• The NYT has a good discussion (with examples) of the byzantine intricacies of US hospital billing practices. Hospital data seems deliberately obscured by interested parties (typically both hospitals and insurers). The money being made by third parties is often spent lobbying to prevent health care reform, especially any form of the feared universal single party health insurance. Read “Hospitals and Insurers Didn’t Want You to See These Prices. Here’s Why.” by Sarah Kliff and Josh Katz.
• Paul Krugman has it right in his NYT opinion piece “The Quiet Rage of the Responsible.” An excerpt:
“So how do you feel about anti-vaxxers and anti-maskers? I’m angry about their antics, even though I’m able to work from home and don’t have school-age children. And I suspect that many Americans share that anger.
The question is whether this entirely justified anger — call it the rage of the responsible — will have a political impact, whether leaders will stand up for the interests of Americans who are trying to do the right thing but whose lives are being disrupted and endangered by those who aren’t.”
• Eric Lander, the President’s Science Adviser, has an excellent opinion piece in the Washington Post describing some of the measures we should take to protect the public’s health going forward: As bad as covid-19 has been, a future pandemic could be even worse — unless we act now
Kim Stanley Robinson does a superb job of rendering climate change’s near future earth in The Ministry for the Future. Warning – the book’s first chapter is one of the most harrowing I have ever read. The author says “the situation we’re in is radically dangerous” and thoroughly convinces you that it is so. Interwoven throughout are some possible social, scientific, and economic interventions that may be of value – or ultimately necessary, solutions that may result in a reduction in global inequality. Ezra Klein’s most important book of 2020, one of Barack Obama’s favorite books of the year. Bill McKibben writes in the NY Review: “Kim Stanley Robinson’s new book is a gift to the world–a novel pitched perfectly to this precise moment in the climate crisis.” and “The New Yorker once asked if Robinson was “our greatest political novelist,” and I think the answer may well be yes.” Hopefully reading this work will inspire many to work for change. Read it.
• Paul Krugman, writing in the NY Times on personal freedom as an excuse for vaccine hesitancy:
“Once you understand that the rhetoric of freedom is actually about privilege, things that look on the surface like gross inconsistency and hypocrisy start to make sense.
Why, for example, are conservatives so insistent on the right of businesses to make their own decisions, free from regulation — but quick to stop them from denying service to customers who refuse to wear masks or show proof of vaccination? Why is the autonomy of local school districts a fundamental principle — unless they want to require masks or teach America’s racial history? It’s all about whose privilege is being protected.“
Yup.
• Another terrific column from Ezra Klein, writing in the NYT: “What if the Unvaccinated Can’t Be Persuaded?” I particularly liked this line:
“Over and over again throughout this pandemic, the same pattern has played out: We haven’t done enough to suppress the virus when we still could, so we have had to impose far more draconian lockdowns and grieve far more death, once we have lost control. For this reason among many, I urge those who object to vaccination passports as an unprecedented stricture on liberty to widen their tragic imagination.“
Highly recommended…
• Kristen Panthagani PhD (now completing her MD) has put together a nicely done blog. “You Can Know Things,” that serves as an explainer and fact checker, mostly for things COVID. Check it out here. Well done, Kristen!
Two nice examples:
Pandemic Contradictions and this animated graphic of US Covid related deaths and vaccinations:
this gif pauses at the end, but for some reason viewing in a browser (but not the app) cuts off the pause. so for those who want to savor the full picture at the end (as the gif intends it), here it is: pic.twitter.com/3UeL5Bi3az
— Kristen Panthagani, PhD (@kmpanthagani) June 10, 2021
• Another excellent Morning item from David Leonhardt in the NYT. He discusses virulence (severity) and contagiousness of the delta variant and does a very good job of it. The quick summary: it’s a lot more contagious, but probably not much (or any) more virulent. This comports with the usual evolutionary selection pressures operant in a massive pandemic – the mutant virus that spreads more easily (is more contagious) can reproduce more efficiently by infecting many more hosts. But if it kills too many hosts too quickly (more virulent) it won’t be able to reproduce and spread as efficiently. The biggest issue for delta is that it is so contagious it will likely keep a huge portion of the world’s unvaccinated population infected for many months, and even if not more virulent, big numbers of infection mean more severely ill folks and deaths. And of course a large pool of infected individuals provides ample opportunity for more mutations to arise that might be more contagious still, more virulent, or escape vaccine induced immunity.
• Ezra Klein, writing in the NYT about California’s gubernatorial recall effort, includes a good discussion re. the potential ill effects of overly aggressive progressive protectionism.